Wisconsin Employment in January | Econbrowser
[ad_1] January employment numbers, incorporating annual revisions, are out for Wisconsin. Here’s a picture of some indicators. Figure 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (dark blue), Philadelphia
The Employment Situation Release and Business Cycle Indicators for February
[ad_1] January NFP employment growth surprises on the upside, at +275 vs. +198 thousands consensus. With combined downward revisions in the prior two months totaling
February 2024 Real-Time Sahm Rule Indicator
[ad_1] Still below threshold: Figure 1: Real time Sahm rule indicator (blue), and 0.5% threshold (red dashed). NBER defined after peak to trough recession dates
Biden-Trump: Some Economic Comparisons | Econbrowser
[ad_1] GDP, employment, manufacturing, debt, unemployment, etc. Figure 1: GDP in bn.2017$ under Biden relative to first quarter of administration (blue), GDPNow for 3/7 (sky
LP Derived IRFs for Disasters on GDP
[ad_1] From Bodenstein and Scaramucci (2024): If one thought that climatological disasters would increase in frequency with global climate change, then one can infer larger
The Sensitivity of Economic Sentiment to News Sentiment, By Partisan Affiliation
[ad_1] How sensitive are economic sentiments as measured by the University of Michigan survey, depending upon party affiliation? Apparently, over the period of the Biden
Year-on-Year Change in Federal Debt to GDP or Potential GDP
[ad_1] Reader Bruce Hall notes the extreme jump in debt-to-GDP in 2020 was attributable in part to the public health economic lockdowns, to wit: But
Business Cycle Indicators Plus Monthly GDP. And Heavy Truck Sales
[ad_1] Monthly GDP declines 7.1 ppts m/m annualized Here’s a picture of key indicators followed by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee plus monthly GDP.
Some Pictures of Federal Debt
[ad_1] Senatorial candidate Hovde presents this picture. Source: Hovde. I’ll trust that the candidate’s staff did the adding correctly, although I think the calculation is
Some Cost Implications of Elevated Frequency of Extreme Events Associated with Global Climate Change
[ad_1] That’s climatologist/macroeconomist/epidemiologist Steven Kopits snarks that I’m worrying about having to wear shorts in Madison on Sunday, when it hit 70 degrees. Just to