More on r* | Econbrowser
[ad_1] From BIS Quarterly Review, article by G. Benigno, B. Hoffmann, G. Nuno Barrau, and D. Sandri: Source: BIS Quarterly Review (March 2024). Note: Here,
Inflation in February | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Core CPI surprises (0.4% vs. 0.3% m/m) on the upside, while headline at consensus. Figure 1: CPI headline instantaneous inflation (a=4,T=12) (black), core
GDP and Treasury Yields in the Administration Forecast
[ad_1] Forecast finalized in November (roughly same time as CBO’s projections, released in February). First, GDP: Figure 1: GDP (black), Administration forecast (red squares), CBO
Real Household Net Worth (from Flow of Funds)
[ad_1] Rising in 2023Q4: Figure 1: Household net worth, in trillions 1999M12 dollars (blue, left log scale), and per capita, in thousands of 1999M12 dollars.
“People … have not faced this kind of uncertainty since the 1930s”
[ad_1] That’s from ZeroHedge. Contra, here are some data. Figure 1: Top panel Economic Policy Uncertainty index, Middle panel VIX, Bottom panel 75p-25p 1 year
Monetary Policy Rates around the World
[ad_1] Some pictures for Econ 442, monetary policy module. Source: Eurofi. Source: Eurofi. Summary: Source: Dallas Fed DGEI. CFR Monetary Policy Tracker shows whether policy
Wisconsin Employment Outperforming DoR November Forecast
[ad_1] As the nation outperforms, so too does Wisconsin. Employment exceeds the DoR November forecast. Figure 1: Wisconsin nonfarm payroll employment (black), DoR forecast (tan
Math Is Hard! | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Steven Kopits writes: On the other hand, interest payments have risen from 9.5% of GDP in 2020 to 13.6% of GDP in 2023. That
Estimates of r*
[ad_1] Who thinks it’s 4% or above? Figure 1: Estimates of r*, %. See description here. Source: Atlanta Fed. [ad_2] Source link
Why I Don’t Put Too Much Weight on the State Level Household Survey Employment Series
[ad_1] Just a picture: Figure 1: Civilian employment from Jan. ’24 release (blue), from Oct. ’23 (tan), May ’22 (green), 000’s, s.a. Source: BLS via