An Event Study: News and Trump Media and Technology Group, 4/1/2024
[ad_1] The efficient markets hypothesis indicates that new information should induce a revision to the present discounted value of future dividends, and hence a change
Wisconsin End-of-2023 Surge | Econbrowser
[ad_1] From BEA state level data released on Friday. GDP grows 4.2% SAAR, Chained CPI deflated wages and salaries by 1.9%; Year-on-Year, 1.5% and 3.0%
GDP, GDO, GDP+ and Final Sales
[ad_1] With Q4 3rd release, we have an estimate of GDO, in addition to GDP. Figure 1: top panel, GDP (blue), GDO (green), GDP+ (tan),
Business Cycle Indicators: February Personal Income, Consumption, and January Mfg/Trade Industry Sales
[ad_1] Plus 3rd release of 2023Q3 GDP. Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll employment from CES (bold blue), from Philadelphia Fed early benchmark (teal), civilian employment (orange), industrial
Guest Contribution: “Adjusting the Current Account”
[ad_1] Today we are fortunate to have as a guest contributor Joseph Joyce, Professor of Economics and M. Margaret Ball Professor of International Relations at Wellesley
Wisconsin Current Economic Conditions | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Coincident index suggests acceleration. Figure 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (dark blue), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark measure of NFP (pink), Civilian Employment (tan), real wages
February 2024 Wisconsin Economic Outlook Forecast
[ad_1] Continued growth in employment, GDP, based on national trends and outlook from SPGMI (report here). Here’s the employment outlook, now compared to November. Figure
Measuring Fed Inflation Credibility | Econbrowser
[ad_1] What do households (not economists) think inflation will be in three years? I use the deviation of forecast from target as a proxy measure
Guest Contribution: “Monetary Policy Reaction to Geopolitical Risks: Some Nonlinear Evidence”
[ad_1] Today we are pleased to present a guest contribution by Jamel Saadaoui (University of Strasbourg) and William Ginn (LabCorp, Artificial Intelligence). How do geopolitical risk
Why Is Wisconsin Construction Booming?
[ad_1] Residential or nonresidential? This is a question brought to my attention in my discussion with Joe Schulz. Without hard numbers broken down to Wisconsin