Trends in German Trade on the Eve of World War I
[ad_1] One shouldn’t just say increasing (or decreasing) trade between potential adversaries predicts something. From Edgar Crammond, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society , Jul.,
Food Inflation Moderates | Econbrowser
[ad_1] But convergence in the East North Central portion of the Midwest is slower. Follow up to this post. Figure 1: CPI – food at
Instantaneous CPI, PCE deflator, and PPI Inflation in March
[ad_1] Per Eeckhout (2023), actuals for CPI and PPI, and nowcast for PCE, headline and core. Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation (T=12, a=4) for CPI (bold
“Central Banking in a Time of Crisis: An International and Interdisciplinary Perspective”
[ad_1] Wisconsin International Law Journal conference tomorrow (Friday) at the UW Memorial Union. 8:30-9:00 A.M. Welcoming Remarks Neiha Lasharie Editor-in-Chief, Wisconsin International Law
Yao Yang at UW Madison: China’s Slowdown – Structural or Cyclical
[ad_1] Presentation at UW Madison (sponsored by CEAS), on Friday, April 12th. https://econbrowser.com/archives/2024/04/yao-yang-at-uw-madison-chinas-slowdown-structural-or-cyclical [ad_2] Source link
Inflation Surprise! | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Here’s a graphic depiction of the extent of the surprise, in levels, relative to Bloomberg Consensus and Cleveland Fed nowcasts. Figure 1: CPI (black),
Studies in Sophistry: Rich States, Poor States 17
[ad_1] Today, ALEC released the latest assessment of state-by-state economic outlook and economic performance, authored by Arthur Laffer, Stephen Moore, and Jonathan Williams. I have
100 Years of Recession Prediction Using the Term Spread
[ad_1] It doesn’t always work. Figure 1: Recession probability one year ahead for 10 year-3 month Treasury spread (blue). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded
Guest Contribution: “The Federal Funds Rate: FOMC Projections, Policy Rule Prescriptions, and Futures Market Probabilities from the March 2024 Meeting”
[ad_1] Today, we present a guest post written by David Papell and Ruxandra Prodan-Boul, Professor of Economics at the University of Houston and Economics Lecturer at Stanford University.
Steve Hanke Says the Recession Cometh
[ad_1] See here. with a 4.2% contraction in the US money supply (M2) since Mar-22, all signs are pointing to a recession late this year.