The Net Petroleum Balance | Econbrowser
[ad_1] In real dollars: Figure 1: Net petroleum balance, in bn.Ch2017$ (black). NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: BEA, NBER, and author’s calculations.
On WisconsinEye: “The Economy on the Campaign Trail”
[ad_1] Mike Knetter and I joined Lisa Pugh for a conversation yesterday about the economy and the election. Here’s the video: Topics: STATE OF
Betting on Recession? Literally… | Econbrowser
[ad_1] From Polymarket, accessed 4pm CT today: So low probability…on the other hand, this is a bunch of non-American residents betting on a US economic
A Known Known: Which Presidential Proposals Would Be Implemented
[ad_1] Apologies to Donald Rumsfeld. There is some uncertainty regarding what parts of presidential proposals will be implemented, especially in light of the necessity for
How’s Wisconsin Employment Doing? | Econbrowser
[ad_1] July was down, and we won’t have August numbers until September 20th (maybe a day earlier from DWD). Using official nationwide nonfarm payroll employment,
Nowcasts – Updated | Econbrowser
[ad_1] GDPNow Q3 growth nowcast now up to 2.5%, from 2.1%. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), Survey of Professional Forecasters August median forecast (tan), GDPNow
If You *Really* Are Worried about Federal Debt Accumulation…
[ad_1] Consider this graph (based on Penn Wharton Budget Model scoring, from the Economist): Note: With respect to tariffs, the trade war (retaliation, uncertainty,
Choi, Dang, Kirpalani, Perez on “Exorbitant privilege and the sustainability of US public debt”
[ad_1] From the paper abstract: We study the extent to which the perceived cost of losing the exorbitant privilege the US holds in global safe
When Did the Debt-to-GDP Ratio Jump in the Last Decade?
[ad_1] Federal debt held by the public as a share of GDP: Figure 1: Federal debt held by public, as share of GDP (blue). Source:
Reminder: Wisconsin Exports under Trump
[ad_1] If you forgot what the trade landscape looked like — and how Trump’s policies impacted Wisconsin — here’s a picture of Wisconsin real exports