Photos from a Conference | Econbrowser
[ad_1] I was at a conference — actually two — in Singapore: the Asian Bureau for Finance and Economic Research annual conference, and the Asian
50% Tariffs on the EU? Or, Wegovy for me, but not for thee?
[ad_1] Macro impact doesn’t seem large according to Yale Budget Lab, but I can hardly wait to see how much a 50% increase in Ozempic
Equity Markets | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Some observers have noted the recovery in equity prices post-“Liberation Day”. This is an accurate characterization for SP500 (and DJ30), but not for indices
“Wisconsin’s Shifting Import Economy” | Econbrowser
[ad_1] That’s the title of Wisconsin Policy Forum Focus #9 released earlier this week. Here’s what Wisconsin imports in the way of goods: Here’s what Wisconsin
Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Updated to 2022
[ad_1] Just published, Chinn-Ito index, available here. Normalized to [0,1], with 1 being most open, here’s the world. Here’re average values for country groupings. The
Planet Money: “How economists (and TikTok) know if a recession is coming”
[ad_1] NPR’s show today has a long segment on recession detection and prediction. I learned a lot about TikTok, Lady Gaga, wasabi peas in bars,
Destroying Dollar Safe Haven Status at Breakneck Speed
[ad_1] Consider the ten year Treasury yield and the dollar index (DXY) over the past six months: Figure 1: DXY (blue, left scale), and ten
Sentiment, Confidence, News | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Note slight recovery in news sentiment (thru 5/18). Probably reflects some relief at the pause in higher US tariffs on Chinese goods. Figure 1:
Guest Contribution: “Policy Rule Evaluation for the Fed’s Strategy Review”
[ad_1] Today, we present a guest post written by David Papell, Professor of Economics at the University of Houston, Sebin Nidhiri and Swati Singh, Ph.D.
NABE 2025 Growth Outlook Downgraded from 1.9% (April) to 1.3% (May)
[ad_1] From NABE today: Here’s a comparison to other forecasts. Figure 1: GDP (black), May SPF (light blue), April WSJ (Red), March FT-Booth (green triangle),