Under What Administrations Does the Debt-to-GDP Start Rising?
[ad_1] Pretty clear to me: Figure 1: Federal debt held by public divided by GDP, %. NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source: Treasury,
Debt Projections Pre- and Post- Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (of 2017)
[ad_1] CBO projections of debt, normalized by GDP and potential GDP, from before December passage/signing (CBO June 2017) and after (April 2018). Figure 1: Federal
ZeroHedge Goes Adaptive Expectations | Econbrowser
[ad_1] Imagine my surprise when I see a statement “rates are now barely positive according to all official inflation and rate data” in an article
Once and For All: The “Recession” of 2022H1
[ad_1] Using the Sahm rule: Figure 1: Sahm rule index using current vintage of data (blue), using real time data (tan), both in %. Threshold
Minutes of Work per Gallon of Gasoline, January 2024: 6.2
[ad_1] Divide the price of gasoline by average hourly earnings of private sector production and nonsupervisory workers: Figure 1: Number of minutes of labor per
Guest Contribution: “The Federal Funds Rate: FOMC Projections, Policy Rules, and Futures Markets”
[ad_1] Today, we present a guest post written by David Papell and Ruxandra Prodan-Boul, Professor of Economics at the University of Houston and Economics Lecturer
Forecasts and Nowcasts | Econbrowser
[ad_1] CBO has released its Budget and Economic Outlook, with projections for GDP (based on data from early December). This is their GDP projection based