Douglas Holtz-Eakin on Trade and the Future of the Global Economy [updated]
In a discussion with myself and Aaron Zitzelsberger (WEDC), at UW Madison, Thursday 2 October 2025, sponsored by the Alexander Hamilton Society at
White House Pulls EJ Antoni Nomination to BLS Chief
From The Hill: Source: Times of Israel. The White House is withdrawing the nomination of E.J. Antoni to lead the Bureau of
World Bank: “Accelerating Investment: Challenges and Policies”
A new volume from the World Bank, Office of Chief Economist: …developing economies face an investment shortfall of historic proportions. Even as
Guest Contribution: “How do UK and Australia relations with China react to US-China shocks”
Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Jamel Saadaoui (Université Paris 8-Vincennes). A lot of my friends, economists or econometricians, do
Conference Board: “A sharp deterioration in consumers’ views of the current economic situation weighed on confidence”
Per release today. In standardized terms, U.Michigan Sentiment and Conference Board Confidence are at the same level in September. Figure 1: U.Michigan
Confirmed: Uncertainty about Trade Policy Rises
From Baker, Bloom and Davis, as well as Caldara et al., in the wake of Section 232 (“National Security”) tariffs on bathroom
Trump Shock on GDP vs. “Core GDP” Trajectories
Relying on GDP might provide a misleading impression of regained momentum. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), 2023-24 stochastic trend (gray), GDPNow (9/26) (light blue square),
In Search of the Section 232 (National Security) Report on Bathroom Vanities
This is what I found on the Bureau of Industrial Security/Dept of Commerce website: In contrast, here’s the (long delayed) report
Guest Contribution: “Does the Zillow rent measure help predict CPI rent inflation?”
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by N. Kundan Kishor (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee). The Divergence Between Rent Measures During the
EPU Spikes: Government Shutdowns vs. 9/11, Lehman, “Bleach”, “Liberation Day”
I was wondering what happens to measured economic policy uncertainty during government shutdowns. In point of fact, EPU (as measured by the