{"id":348676,"date":"2025-10-02T03:02:35","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T08:02:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/02\/ft-booth-gdp-forecast-for-2025-1-6\/"},"modified":"2025-10-02T03:02:35","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T08:02:35","slug":"ft-booth-gdp-forecast-for-2025-1-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/02\/ft-booth-gdp-forecast-for-2025-1-6\/","title":{"rendered":"FT-Booth GDP Forecast for 2025: 1.6%"},"content":{"rendered":"

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That\u2019s q4\/q4, as noted in the survey results<\/a> for September.<\/p>\n

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FIgure 1:<\/strong> GDP (bold black), FT-Booth September survey median (red triangle), 10\/90 percentile interval (gray +), GDPNow of 9\/1 (light blue square), and 2023-24 trend (chartreuse), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2025q2 3rd release\/annual benchmark revision, FT-Booth Seeptember survey<\/a>, Atlanta Fed, and author\u2019s calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n

The median survey response of 1.6% is just below my estimate of 1.7%. While the current GDPNow nowcast is at the upper end of the 10\/90 percentile interval, the St. Louis Fed\u2019s at essentially zero growth (not shown) is below the 10th percentile (see this post<\/a>).<\/p>\n

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