{"id":346191,"date":"2025-07-29T22:29:45","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T03:29:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/29\/final-nowcast-for-q2-econbrowser\/"},"modified":"2025-07-29T22:29:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T03:29:45","slug":"final-nowcast-for-q2-econbrowser","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/29\/final-nowcast-for-q2-econbrowser\/","title":{"rendered":"Final Nowcast for Q2 | Econbrowser"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-57408\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>Atlanta Fed nowcast incorporating advance economic indicators indicates 2.9% q\/q AR, up from 2.4%. The news is in final sales to private domestic purchasers.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-57409\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1022\" height=\"532\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2.png 1022w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2-768x400.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/finsalespix2-624x325.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1022px) 100vw, 1022px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 1:<\/strong> Final sales to private domestic purchasers (bold black), GDPNow of 7\/25 (red *), GDPNow of 7\/29 (light blue square), all in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR.\u00a0 Source: BEA 2025Q1 3rd release, Atlanta Fed, and author\u2019s calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Since this series excludes imports and exports as well as inventories, it should be less affected by distortions associated with tariff front-running. That nowcasted final sales growth in Q2 is\u00a0 0.8% SAAR, down from 0.9% just four days ago. Moreover, this Q2 growth rate is less than half the 1.9% in Q1, and 2.9% in 2024Q4.<\/p>\n<p>So, don\u2019t be overly focused on GDP.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/07\/final-nowcast-for-q2\" title=\"7:28 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-07-29T19:28:53-07:00\">July 29, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/07\/final-nowcast-for-q2\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Atlanta Fed nowcast incorporating advance economic indicators indicates 2.9% q\/q AR, up from 2.4%. The news is in final sales to private domestic purchasers.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":346192,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/346191"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=346191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/346191\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/346192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=346191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=346191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=346191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}