{"id":276648,"date":"2025-05-17T21:20:17","date_gmt":"2025-05-17T21:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/17\/gdp-on-a-lower-trajectory-survey-of-professional-forecasters\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:08:25","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:08:25","slug":"gdp-on-a-lower-trajectory-survey-of-professional-forecasters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/17\/gdp-on-a-lower-trajectory-survey-of-professional-forecasters\/","title":{"rendered":"GDP on a Lower Trajectory \u2013 Survey of Professional Forecasters"},"content":{"rendered":"

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From Survey of Professional Forecasters:<\/p>\n

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Figure 1:<\/strong> GDP (bold black), May SPF median (light blue), February SPF median (red), GDPNow, 5\/16 (blue square), all b.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA 2025Q1 advance, Philadelphia Fed, Atlanta Fed,\u00a0 and author\u2019s calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n

Compare to WSJ downshift:<\/p>\n

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Figure 2:<\/strong>\u00a0GDP (black), IMF April WEO (dark blue square), January WEO (teal square), April WSJ (bold dark red), January (red), GDPNow of 4\/17 adjusted for gold imports (green inverted triangle), all bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA, IMF, WSJ surveys, Atlanta Fed, and author\u2019s calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n

Both WSj and SPF suggest a downward revision of GDP of about 1.2% by year\u2019s end. Note that the IMF WEO showed a revision of 0.9% for 2025 q4\/q4 growth, going from January to April.<\/p>\n

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