{"id":273265,"date":"2025-04-03T03:37:21","date_gmt":"2025-04-03T03:37:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/03\/2-april-2025-an-event-study\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:08:59","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:08:59","slug":"2-april-2025-an-event-study","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/04\/03\/2-april-2025-an-event-study\/","title":{"rendered":"2 April 2025: An Event Study"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-56217\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>Odds of a recession in 2025:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recession_2apr25.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56218\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recession_2apr25.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"530\" height=\"415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recession_2apr25.png 530w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recession_2apr25-300x235.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 530px) 100vw, 530px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong> Kalshi, 2 April 2025, 8pm CT.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Polymarket confirms:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/polymkt_recession_2apr25.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56220\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/polymkt_recession_2apr25.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"617\" height=\"412\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/polymkt_recession_2apr25.png 617w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/polymkt_recession_2apr25-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 617px) 100vw, 617px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong> Polymarket, 2 April 2025, 8pm CT.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The recession has been moved forward, at least in betting odds (over the past week):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recessionstart_2apr25.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56219\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recessionstart_2apr25.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"539\" height=\"410\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recessionstart_2apr25.png 539w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/kalshi_recessionstart_2apr25-300x228.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 539px) 100vw, 539px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong> Kalshi, 2 April 2025, 8pm CT.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/04\/2-april-2025-an-event-study\" title=\"8:09 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-04-02T20:09:31-07:00\">April 2, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/04\/2-april-2025-an-event-study\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Odds of a recession in 2025: Source: Kalshi, 2 April 2025, 8pm CT. Polymarket confirms: Source: Polymarket, 2 April 2025, 8pm CT. \u00a0 The<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":273266,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273265"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=273265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/273265\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/273266"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=273265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=273265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=273265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}