{"id":272941,"date":"2025-03-26T19:03:14","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T19:03:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/26\/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero-econbrowser\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:03","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:03","slug":"gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero-econbrowser","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/26\/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero-econbrowser\/","title":{"rendered":"GDPNow Bouncing near Zero | Econbrowser"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-56130\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>From Atlanta Fed today:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdpnow-forecast-evolution_26mar25.gif\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56132\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdpnow-forecast-evolution_26mar25.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"650\" height=\"458\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlantafed.org\/cqer\/research\/gdpnow\">Atlanta Fed<\/a>, accessed 3\/26\/2025.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s this mean for the trajectory of GDP? Note GS at 1.3%, while NY Fed (last Friday) at 1.72%<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-56131\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1022\" height=\"576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40.png 1022w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40-768x433.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/gdppix40-624x352.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1022px) 100vw, 1022px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 2:<\/strong> GDP (black), GDPNow of 3\/26 (red triangle), GDPNow adjusted for gold imports\u00a0 (pink square), NY Fed (blue square), Goldman Sachs (inverted green triangle), Survey of Professional Forecasters (light blue), all in billion Ch.2017$ SAAR. Source: BEA,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/pulse\/gdp-forecasters-some-gold-doesnt-glitter-atlantafed-fxb2e\/\">\u00a0Atlanta Fed<\/a>, Philadelphia Fed, NY Fed, Goldman Sachs and authors calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In normal times, with 34 days to the advance release, one would put greater weight on GDPNow than the (pre-Covid) NY Fed nowcast, or Bloomberg consensus. (The NY Fed nowcast underwent substantial revision during the pandemic.)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-39754\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19-1024x716.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"625\" height=\"437\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19-1024x716.png 1024w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19-300x210.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19-768x537.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19-624x436.png 624w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/DB_nowcastscompared_24jul19.png 1027w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 625px) 100vw, 625px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong>\u00a0Luzzetti, et al. \u201cTracking the GDP trackers,\u201d Deutsche Bank US Economic Perspectives, 24 July 2019.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/03\/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero\" title=\"10:56 am\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-03-26T10:56:43-07:00\">March 26, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/03\/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] From Atlanta Fed today: Source: Atlanta Fed, accessed 3\/26\/2025. What\u2019s this mean for the trajectory of GDP? Note GS at 1.3%, while NY Fed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":272942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/272941"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=272941"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/272941\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/272942"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=272941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=272941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=272941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}