{"id":271467,"date":"2025-02-21T01:53:52","date_gmt":"2025-02-21T01:53:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/21\/bringing-prices-down-a-progress-report\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:18","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:18","slug":"bringing-prices-down-a-progress-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/21\/bringing-prices-down-a-progress-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Bringing Prices Down: A Progress Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-55721\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>We\u2019re a month into Trump 2.0. We don\u2019t have February\u2019s prices yet, but since Trump was going to do everything \u201cDay 1\u201d, I thought it useful to take a look at various indices.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55722\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"864\" height=\"561\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix.png 864w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix-768x499.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/pricelevelpix-624x405.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 864px) 100vw, 864px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 1:<\/strong> CPI (blue), CPI \u2013 food at home component (brown), and AIER Everyday Price Index (green), all 2024M01=1.00. Source: BLS, AIER.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>On eggs:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55723\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1022\" height=\"547\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1.png 1022w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1-768x411.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/eggspricepix4a-1-624x334.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1022px) 100vw, 1022px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 2:<\/strong>\u00a0Consumer Price of Dozen Eggs (blue, left scale), ERS forecast of January 2025 for end 2025 (blue square, left scale), OLS forecast based on price-lagged PPI relationship (red triangle), all in $, and PPI for fresh eggs (brown, right scale), and TradingEconomics forecast (2\/13\/2025) implied PPI for eggs (tan square), all in1991M12=100. Trading Economics futures price for dozen eggs (blue), and TradingEconomics model and analyst based forecast (gray). Source: BLS, ERS,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/commodity\/eggs-us\">TradingEconomics.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>No wonder <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2025\/02\/20\/politics\/cnn-poll-trump-approval\/index.html\">CNN\u2019s poll<\/a> shows some dissatisfaction with progress in lowering prices (remember, he made the promise on price levels, not inflation).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55724\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"857\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25.png 857w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25-768x323.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/cnnpoll_trump_20feb25-624x262.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/bringing-prices-down-a-progress-report\" title=\"4:05 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-02-20T16:05:10-08:00\">February 20, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/bringing-prices-down-a-progress-report\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] We\u2019re a month into Trump 2.0. We don\u2019t have February\u2019s prices yet, but since Trump was going to do everything \u201cDay 1\u201d, I thought<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":271468,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271467"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=271467"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271467\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/271468"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=271467"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=271467"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=271467"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}