{"id":271299,"date":"2025-02-19T01:39:47","date_gmt":"2025-02-19T01:39:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/19\/epu-and-expected-inflation-econbrowser\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:20","slug":"epu-and-expected-inflation-econbrowser","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/19\/epu-and-expected-inflation-econbrowser\/","title":{"rendered":"EPU and Expected Inflation | Econbrowser"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-55700\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>From election day, five year inflation breakeven up 33 bps; EPU up 231. What could go wrong?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55701\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1014\" height=\"1200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu.png 1014w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu-254x300.png 254w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu-865x1024.png 865w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu-768x909.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/trump_expinfl_epu-624x738.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1014px) 100vw, 1014px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 1:<\/strong> Top graph \u2013 EPU (blue), 7 day centered moving average (red); bottom graph \u2013 five year Treasury-TIPS breakeven (blue), and KKW estimate of five year inflation (red), both in %. Source: policyuncertainty.com and Treasury via FRED and author\u2019s calculations.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/epu-and-expected-inflation\" title=\"3:01 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-02-18T15:01:32-08:00\">February 18, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/epu-and-expected-inflation\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] From election day, five year inflation breakeven up 33 bps; EPU up 231. What could go wrong? Figure 1: Top graph \u2013 EPU (blue),<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":271300,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271299"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=271299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271299\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/271300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=271299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=271299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=271299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}