{"id":270641,"date":"2025-02-08T00:51:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-08T00:51:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/08\/one-year-inflation-expectations-upside-surprise\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:26","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:26","slug":"one-year-inflation-expectations-upside-surprise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/08\/one-year-inflation-expectations-upside-surprise\/","title":{"rendered":"One Year Inflation Expectations Upside Surprise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-55564\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>Michigan 1 year expectations at 4.3% vs 3.3% Bloomberg consensus.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55565\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"849\" height=\"561\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1.png 849w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1-300x198.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1-768x507.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/inflexpect1-624x412.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 849px) 100vw, 849px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Figure 1:<\/strong> Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), one year ahead Michigan (red), NY Fed (green), all in %. Source: BLS, U.Michigan and NY Fed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>A one percentage point increase in y\/y expected inflation is over two standard deviations from expected.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/one-year-inflation-expectations-upside-surprise\" title=\"3:14 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-02-07T15:14:23-08:00\">February 7, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/one-year-inflation-expectations-upside-surprise\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Michigan 1 year expectations at 4.3% vs 3.3% Bloomberg consensus. Figure 1: Year-on-Year CPI inflation (bold black), one year ahead Michigan (red), NY Fed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":270642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/270641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=270641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/270641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/270642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=270641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=270641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=270641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}