{"id":270432,"date":"2025-02-05T01:30:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T01:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/05\/soybeans-again-econbrowser\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:28","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:28","slug":"soybeans-again-econbrowser","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/05\/soybeans-again-econbrowser\/","title":{"rendered":"Soybeans, Again | Econbrowser"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-55519\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>You might well wonder why China didn\u2019t retaliate against US soybean exports in the wake of Trump\u2019s 10% tax on Chinese goods. Was it because heavy tariffs were already in place in response to the earlier Section 301 tariffs? No, given the Phase 1 of the trade deal (not that there was ever a Phase 2), tariffs were reduce. Here\u2019s the current situation, from the <a href=\"https:\/\/ncga.com\/stay-informed\/media\/the-corn-economy\/article\/2024\/10\/trade-study-how-potential-new-tariffs-could-impact-u-s-soybeans-and-corn\">National Corn Growers Association<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55520\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"887\" height=\"314\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1.png 887w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1-300x106.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1-768x272.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/NCGA_tab1-624x221.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 887px) 100vw, 887px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Since Mr. Trump has observed this set of tariffs is just the beginning of the trade war, then China may have decided to keep its powder dry.<\/p>\n<p>Just a reminder of what happened last time US soybeans got hit by Chinese tariffs (<a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2018\/07\/interpreting-evidence-on-forecasting-capabilities-of-futures-relative-to-other-methods\">July 15, 2018 post<\/a>):<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/forecastbasics1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-33348\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/forecastbasics1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"448\" height=\"345\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/forecastbasics1.png 448w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/forecastbasics1-300x231.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 448px) 100vw, 448px\"\/><\/a><br \/><small><b>Figure 1:<\/b>\u00a0Soybean futures for July 2019. Source:\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/charting\/index.html?s=CBOT_ZS.N19.E&amp;t=&amp;a=&amp;w=&amp;v=d12\">ino.com<\/a>.<\/small><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/soybeans-again\" title=\"4:26 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2025-02-04T16:26:26-08:00\">February 4, 2025<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/02\/soybeans-again\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] You might well wonder why China didn\u2019t retaliate against US soybean exports in the wake of Trump\u2019s 10% tax on Chinese goods. Was it<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":270433,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/270432"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=270432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/270432\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/270433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=270432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=270432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=270432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}