{"id":269536,"date":"2025-01-24T19:18:35","date_gmt":"2025-01-24T19:18:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/24\/macroeconomic-policy-lecture-1-graphs-for-2025\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:09:36","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:09:36","slug":"macroeconomic-policy-lecture-1-graphs-for-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2025\/01\/24\/macroeconomic-policy-lecture-1-graphs-for-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Macroeconomic Policy Lecture 1 \u2013 Graphs for 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Started teaching on Wednesday. Here\u2019re some graphs in the intro lecture on macro policy (now that content is gated, and only accessible to students).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55328\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"859\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1.png 859w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_1-624x349.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 859px) 100vw, 859px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Where we are: GDP<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55329\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"464\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2.png 800w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2-300x174.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2-768x445.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_2-624x362.png 624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Where we are: inflation<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_3.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55330\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"552\" height=\"552\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_3.png 552w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_3-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_3-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 552px) 100vw, 552px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Where we are: Implications of the static Taylor rule<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55331\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"764\" height=\"572\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_4.png 764w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_4-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_4-624x467.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 764px) 100vw, 764px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Unconventional monetary policy: Credit easing, credit tightening<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55332\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"780\" height=\"520\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5.png 780w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_5-624x416.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 780px) 100vw, 780px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Unconventional monetary policy: forward guidance<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_6.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55333\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"603\" height=\"608\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_6.png 603w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_6-298x300.png 298w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_6-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 603px) 100vw, 603px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The (bivariate) Phillips curve<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55334\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"870\" height=\"464\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7.png 870w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7-300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7-768x410.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_7-624x333.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 870px) 100vw, 870px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The dollar and the trade balance<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55343\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"808\" height=\"537\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15.png 808w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15-768x510.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_15-624x415.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 808px) 100vw, 808px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trade war? 10% tariffs and GDP<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55335\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"824\" height=\"517\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9.png 824w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9-768x482.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_9-624x392.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trade war? 10% tariffs and inflation<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55336\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"824\" height=\"530\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10.png 824w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10-300x193.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10-768x494.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_10-624x401.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trade war: 60% China tariffs and GDP<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55337\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"838\" height=\"573\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11.png 838w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11-300x205.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11-768x525.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_11-624x427.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 838px) 100vw, 838px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trade war: 60% China tariffs and inflation<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55338\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"855\" height=\"456\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12.png 855w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12-300x160.png 300w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12-768x410.png 768w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_12-624x333.png 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Federal debt and real interest rates<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_13.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55340\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_13.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"416\" height=\"607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_13.png 416w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_13-206x300.png 206w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 416px) 100vw, 416px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>CBO on regional temperature increase for global degree increase (3 degrees is median)<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55339\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"433\" height=\"616\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14.png 433w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14-211x300.png 211w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 433px) 100vw, 433px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>CBO on regional precipitation increase for global temperature increase (3 degrees is median)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-55342\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"441\" height=\"624\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14-2.png 441w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/lec1_14-2-212x300.png 212w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 441px) 100vw, 441px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>CBO on regional temperature increase for global 2 foot increase (2 feet is median)<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Syllabus is <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ssc.wisc.edu\/~mchinn\/e442syllabus_s25.pdf\">here<\/a>. Textbook is Blanchard, <em>Macroeconomics<\/em> 9\/e. For those who question the methodological approaches incorporated in the class (remember this <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2021\/02\/musings-on-what-the-he-do-you-teach-your-students-menzie\">rant<\/a>?), see the Blanchard\u2019s bio <a href=\"https:\/\/economics.mit.edu\/people\/faculty\/olivier-blanchard\">here<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Olivier Blanchard is the Robert M. Solow Professor of Economics emeritus at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and the C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. A citizen of France, Blanchard has spent most of his professional life in the United States. After obtaining his PhD in economics from MIT in 1977, he taught at Harvard University and returned to MIT in 1982. He was chair of the economics department from 1998 to 2003. In 2008, he took a leave of absence to serve as economic counsellor and director of the research department at the International Monetary Fund where he stayed until 2015. He then joined the Peterson Institute.<\/p>\n<p>Blanchard has worked on a wide set of macroeconomic issues, including the role of monetary and fiscal policy, speculative bubbles, the labor market and determinants of unemployment, economic transition in former communist countries, and the nature of the Global Financial Crisis. In the process, he has worked with numerous countries and international organizations.<\/p>\n<p>Blanchard is the author of many books and articles, including two textbooks on macroeconomics, one at the graduate level with Stanley Fischer and the other at the undergraduate level. He is a past editor of the Quarterly Journal of Economics and the NBER Macroeconomics Annual and founding editor of American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. He is a fellow and former Council member of the Econometric Society, a past president of the American Economic Association, and a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote><\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2025\/01\/macroeconomic-policy-graphs-for-2025\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Started teaching on Wednesday. Here\u2019re some graphs in the intro lecture on macro policy (now that content is gated, and only accessible to students).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":269537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269536"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=269536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/269536\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/269537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=269536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=269536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=269536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}