{"id":264191,"date":"2024-11-10T00:34:15","date_gmt":"2024-11-10T00:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/10\/analyses-on-the-impacts-of-trumps-proposed-ultimate-solution\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:10:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:10:33","slug":"analyses-on-the-impacts-of-trumps-proposed-ultimate-solution","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/11\/10\/analyses-on-the-impacts-of-trumps-proposed-ultimate-solution\/","title":{"rendered":"Analyses on the Impacts of Trump\u2019s Proposed Ultimate Solution"},"content":{"rendered":"

[ad_1]
\n<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n
\n

Given the results of the election, and Mr. Trump\u2019s statement<\/a> that deportations will start immediately, there will be a need for facts. I recommend EconoFact\u2019s Immigration page<\/a> as a start for your analysis.<\/p>\n

In addition, McKibben, Hogan and Noland (2024)<\/a> analyzed the economic ramifications of a couple deportation scenarios: 1.3 mn, and 8.3 mn.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Note the high scenario, with 8.3 mn deportations, implies a much bigger deviation from baseline, almost assuredly a recession if baseline is around 2 percent per annum.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

To place this estimate in context, -7.5 pp of GDP was the largest (in absolute value) output gap during the Great Recession.<\/p>\n

Note that these calculations assume deportations only of unauthorized immigrants. Project 2025<\/a> recommends (pp. 143-44):<\/p>\n

\n

Other structural changes should include reimplementation of the USCIS denaturalization unit\u201d \u2014 an effort to maintain integrity in the system by identifying and prosecuting criminal and civil denaturalization cases, in combination with the Department of Justice, for aliens who obtained citizenship through fraud or other illicit means. Additionally, USCIS should create a criminal enforcement component within the agency to investigate immigration bene\ufb01ts fraud under Title 8 (perhaps requiring additional legislative and regulatory authorities for the officers themselves) and to prosecute cases through Special Assistant U.S. Attorneys (SAUSAs) with substantive knowledge in the \ufb01eld. Particular attention should be given to addressing increasing incidents of forced labor trafficking in temporary work visa programs.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

<\/p>\n