{"id":255781,"date":"2024-08-20T19:46:46","date_gmt":"2024-08-20T19:46:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/20\/the-stock-market-is-booming-and-the-economy-is-strong-but-job-anxiety-is-soaring\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:12:00","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:12:00","slug":"the-stock-market-is-booming-and-the-economy-is-strong-but-job-anxiety-is-soaring","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/20\/the-stock-market-is-booming-and-the-economy-is-strong-but-job-anxiety-is-soaring\/","title":{"rendered":"The stock market is booming and the economy is strong, but job anxiety is soaring"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/GettyImages-2164056539_c8fe71-e1724179092741.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The economy may look strong on paper, but Americans are more worried than ever about losing their jobs as fears of a \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/26\/kyla-scanlon-tiktok-youtube-newsletter-economist-vibecession\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/26\/kyla-scanlon-tiktok-youtube-newsletter-economist-vibecession\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">vibecession<\/a>\u201d take hold.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The portmanteau \u201cvibecession,\u201d coined by Gen-Z economist and TikTok star Kyla Scanlon, refers to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ubs.com\/us\/en\/wealth-management\/insights\/market-news\/article.1608955.html\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.ubs.com\/us\/en\/wealth-management\/insights\/market-news\/article.1608955.html\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">disconnect<\/a> that occurs when public financial sentiment is negative even though the economy isn\u2019t in a recession. Given the growing chasm between the stock market and job anxiety, the phenomenon appears to be in full swing.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A labor market expectations <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/newsevents\/news\/research\/2024\/20240819\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.newyorkfed.org\/newsevents\/news\/research\/2024\/20240819\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">survey<\/a> by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York showed that the average expected likelihood of being unemployed rose to 4.4% in July, the highest level since 2014 and up from 3.9% a year earlier.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The number of people seeking a job in July was also at its highest since 2014 at 28.4%\u2014a marked increase over the 19.4% seeking jobs a year ago. The report, which surveyed 1,000 nationally representative respondents, also highlighted several other worrying labor trends including a record low number of people still working for the same employer.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-datawrapper wp-block-embed-datawrapper\">\n<p><iframe class=\"\" aria-label=\"Interactive line chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-sfARr\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"427\" loading=\"lazy\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/sfARr\/1\/\" style=\"border:none\" title=\"Number of job seekers surge to nine-year high\" width=\"100%\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Meanwhile, the survey comes as the overall stock market recorded its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/livecoverage\/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-19-2024\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/livecoverage\/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-19-2024\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">eighth straight week of gains<\/a> on Monday and retail sales in July recorded their biggest increase in over a year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Still, signs of softening in the labor market, including a weaker-than-expected July jobs report and rising unemployment, have some worried about a vibecession. A June <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/08\/12\/59percent-of-americans-think-the-us-is-in-a-recession-report-finds.html#:~:text=59%25%20of%20Americans%20wrongly%20think%20the%20U.S.,in%20a%20recession%2C%20report%20finds&amp;text=Citing%20higher%20costs%20and%20difficulty,according%20to%20a%20recent%20report.\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/08\/12\/59percent-of-americans-think-the-us-is-in-a-recession-report-finds.html#:~:text=59%25%20of%20Americans%20wrongly%20think%20the%20U.S.,in%20a%20recession%2C%20report%20finds&amp;text=Citing%20higher%20costs%20and%20difficulty,according%20to%20a%20recent%20report.\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">study<\/a> by buy-now-pay-later company Affirm found that a majority of people believed that the U.S. was in a recession. Meanwhile top economists like Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel believe the U.S. is in a <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/07\/14\/jeremy-siegel-goldilocks-economy-low-inflation-steady-growth\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2023\/07\/14\/jeremy-siegel-goldilocks-economy-low-inflation-steady-growth\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cGoldilocks economy\u201d<\/a> with strong growth and slowing inflation. Economists use the term to describe an economy that\u2019s \u201cjust right,\u201d or not too cold, and not too hot, as in the children\u2019s book <em>Goldilocks and the Three Bears<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Accordingly, market participants will have their eyes fixed on Fed chairman Jerome Powell\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/19\/jerome-powell-jackson-hole-speech-less-predictable-federal-reserve-interst-rate-cuts\/?utm_source=search&amp;utm_medium=suggested_search&amp;utm_campaign=search_link_clicks\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/19\/jerome-powell-jackson-hole-speech-less-predictable-federal-reserve-interst-rate-cuts\/?utm_source=search&amp;utm_medium=suggested_search&amp;utm_campaign=search_link_clicks\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">annual speech<\/a> Friday in Jackson Hole, Wyo. for signs of an impending interest rate cut.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Top Federal Reserve leaders have taken notice of weakening labor numbers ahead of the three-day Jackson Hole meeting, and several have said the Fed needs to monitor its other mandate, striving for maximum employment.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Both Chicago Fed president <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/face-the-nation-full-transcript-08-18-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/face-the-nation-full-transcript-08-18-2024\/\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">Austan Goolsbee<\/a> and San Francisco Fed President <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/08\/business\/economy\/federal-interest-rates-inflation.html\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/08\/business\/economy\/federal-interest-rates-inflation.html\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">Mary C. Daly<\/a> said the central bank was closely watching unemployment to gauge whether to cut rates and if so, how much to cut by.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And last week, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic told the <em>Financial Times<\/em> that he was open to the idea of the central bank cutting interest rates at its next meeting in September, and that the Fed has to be <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/15\/top-federal-reserve-official-inflation-september-interest-rate-cut\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/15\/top-federal-reserve-official-inflation-september-interest-rate-cut\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cextra vigilant.\u201d\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cBecause our policies act with a lag in both directions, we can\u2019t really afford to be late. We have to act as soon as possible,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\"><strong>Recommended Newsletter: <\/strong>High-level insights for high-powered executives. Subscribe to the CEO Daily newsletter for free today. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=ceod_v2081924&amp;itm_content=finance\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=ceod_v2081924&amp;itm_content=finance\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe now<\/a>.<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/20\/job-anxiety-unemployment-survey-federal-reserve-new-york\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] The economy may look strong on paper, but Americans are more worried than ever about losing their jobs as fears of a \u201cvibecession\u201d take<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":255782,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255781"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=255781"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/255781\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/255782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=255781"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=255781"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=255781"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}