{"id":251104,"date":"2024-08-04T19:28:02","date_gmt":"2024-08-04T19:28:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/04\/stock-market-crash-wont-stop-ai-fueled-bubble-economist-says\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:13:11","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:13:11","slug":"stock-market-crash-wont-stop-ai-fueled-bubble-economist-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/08\/04\/stock-market-crash-wont-stop-ai-fueled-bubble-economist-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Stock market crash won&#8217;t stop AI-fueled bubble, economist says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/GettyImages-2159997204-e1722795684577.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The stock market suffered a <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/stock-market-crash-dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-recession-jobs-report-fed\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/stock-market-crash-dow-jones-sp500-nasdaq-recession-jobs-report-fed\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">brutal bloodbath<\/a> last week as recession concerns shot up, but Capital Economics predicted the artificial intelligence boom will continue to lead the way higher.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The surprisingly <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/unemployment-hiring-jobs-report-july\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/unemployment-hiring-jobs-report-july\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">weak July jobs report<\/a> on Friday and the sharp deterioration in the Institute for Supply Management\u2019s manufacturing index on Thursday sank stocks. For the week, the S&amp;P 500 lost 2.5%, the <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nasdaq\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nasdaq\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">Nasdaq<\/a> fell 3.6%, and the Russell 2000, which previously soared on a rotation into small caps, tumbled nearly 7%.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, economic growth concerns have raised expectations for more aggressive easing cycle from the Federal Reserve, with <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/03\/fed-rate-cuts-before-meeting-july-jobs-report-recession-unemployment-rate\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/03\/fed-rate-cuts-before-meeting-july-jobs-report-recession-unemployment-rate\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/03\/fed-rate-cuts-before-meeting-july-jobs-report-recession-unemployment-rate\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">Wall Street seeing rates eventually plunging<\/a> by 200 basis points or more. <\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.capitaleconomics.com\/publications\/capital-daily\/we-doubt-us-economy-will-stall-equity-rally-long\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.capitaleconomics.com\/publications\/capital-daily\/we-doubt-us-economy-will-stall-equity-rally-long\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\">note on Friday<\/a>, Capital Economics senior markets economist Diana Iovanel said the stock rally should resume.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRenewed fears of a US recession have increased the chances of additional rate cuts from the Fed,\u201d she wrote. \u201cBut we don\u2019t think that the US economy will stand in the way of an equity rally for much longer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Stock valuations are nowhere near indicating an \u201ceconomic cataclysm,\u201d and credit spreads are still\u00a0close to record lows, she added. Capital Economics sees the Fed cutting rates at each meeting from September until next July.<\/p>\n<p>Iovanel said a recession is unlikely and growth will even reaccelerate after a soft patch in the second half of this year.  <\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo we don\u2019t expect risk sentiment to deteriorate much further,\u201d she said. \u201cThe upshot is that we doubt the economy will stand much in the way of the AI-fueled bubble picking up steam again soon.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Indeed, recent <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/01\/meta-microsoft-google-earnings-ai-metrics-growth-capex\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/01\/meta-microsoft-google-earnings-ai-metrics-growth-capex\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/01\/meta-microsoft-google-earnings-ai-metrics-growth-capex\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">earnings reports from Microsoft, Meta and Google<\/a> indicate they spent a combined $40.5 billion on the infrastructure, land, and chips that power their AI services during the second quarter. And each company indicated that those numbers will only get bigger next year.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Such spending will likely end up at AI chip suppliers like <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nvidia\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nvidia\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">Nvidia<\/a>, which has seen astronomical increases in revenue and its stock price in the last few years.<\/p>\n<p>Others on Wall Street have called for investors not to overreact to the sudden weakening in jobs. Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist who developed the \u201cSahm Rule\u201d recession indicator, told\u00a0<em>Fortune<\/em>\u00a0on Friday that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/recession-indicator-claudia-sahm-rule-trigger-unemployment-rate-jobs-report\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/02\/recession-indicator-claudia-sahm-rule-trigger-unemployment-rate-jobs-report\/\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">she\u2019s not concerned right now that the U.S. is in a recession<\/a>, pointing out that household income is still growing while consumer spending and business investment remain resilient.<\/p>\n<p>Still, recent trends in the labor market have looked weak at best, said Sahm, who is now chief economist at investment firm New Century Advisors.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s been very accurate over time, so that shouldn\u2019t be dismissed,\u201d she added, noting that \u201crecessions can build slowly, and then come quickly.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\"><strong>Recommended Newsletter: <\/strong>CEO Daily provides key context for the news leaders need to know from across the world of business. Every weekday morning, more than 125,000 readers trust CEO Daily for insights about\u2013and from inside\u2013the C-suite. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" class=\"sc-93594058-0 fowfrQ\" rel=\"noopener\">Subscribe Now<\/a>.<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/08\/04\/stock-market-crash-economic-outlook-recession-ai-fueled-bubble-fed-rate-cuts\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] The stock market suffered a brutal bloodbath last week as recession concerns shot up, but Capital Economics predicted the artificial intelligence boom will continue<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251105,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251104"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=251104"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/251104\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/251105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=251104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=251104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=251104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}