{"id":247396,"date":"2024-07-24T22:39:27","date_gmt":"2024-07-24T22:39:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/24\/prediction-markets-on-the-election-july-24-2024\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:14:01","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:14:01","slug":"prediction-markets-on-the-election-july-24-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/24\/prediction-markets-on-the-election-july-24-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction Markets on the Election: July 24, 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"post-52971\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- .entry-header --><\/p>\n<div class=\"entry-content\">\n<p>From PredictIt, 4:30pm ET: Republican\/Democratic win probabilities back to where they were the day before the debate.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/predictit_pres_24jul24-1.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-52973\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/predictit_pres_24jul24-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"306\" height=\"278\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/predictit_pres_24jul24-1.png 306w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/predictit_pres_24jul24-1-300x273.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 306px) 100vw, 306px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.predictit.org\/markets\/detail\/6867\/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election\">Predict<\/a>,<\/em> <em>accessed 7\/24\/2024, 4:30pm ET.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Just to confirm that these are not anomalous, here are the RealClearPolitics betting averages:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/rcp_24jul24-1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-52975\" src=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/rcp_24jul24-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"487\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/rcp_24jul24-1.png 487w, https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/rcp_24jul24-1-300x206.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 487px) 100vw, 487px\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Source:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolling.com\/betting-odds\/2024\/president\">RCP<\/a>, accessed 7\/24\/2024, 4:30pm ET.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><!-- .entry-content --><\/p>\n<footer class=\"entry-meta\">\n\t\t\tThis entry was posted on <a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2024\/07\/prediction-markets-on-the-election-july-24-2024\" title=\"2:32 pm\" rel=\"bookmark\"><time class=\"entry-date\" datetime=\"2024-07-24T14:32:12-07:00\">July 24, 2024<\/time><\/a><span class=\"by-author\"> by <span class=\"author vcard\"><a class=\"url fn n\" href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/author\/menzie_chinn\" title=\"View all posts by Menzie Chinn\" rel=\"author\">Menzie Chinn<\/a><\/span><\/span>.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/footer>\n<p><!-- .entry-meta -->\n\t<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/econbrowser.com\/archives\/2024\/07\/prediction-markets-on-the-election-july-24-2024\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] From PredictIt, 4:30pm ET: Republican\/Democratic win probabilities back to where they were the day before the debate. Source: Predict, accessed 7\/24\/2024, 4:30pm ET. Just<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":247397,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247396"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=247396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/247396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/247397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=247396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=247396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=247396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}