{"id":241804,"date":"2024-07-10T18:55:11","date_gmt":"2024-07-10T18:55:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/10\/jerome-powell-is-suddenly-bearish-on-the-jobs-market-and-its-a-welcome-sign-for-wall-street\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:14:58","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:14:58","slug":"jerome-powell-is-suddenly-bearish-on-the-jobs-market-and-its-a-welcome-sign-for-wall-street","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/10\/jerome-powell-is-suddenly-bearish-on-the-jobs-market-and-its-a-welcome-sign-for-wall-street\/","title":{"rendered":"Jerome Powell is suddenly bearish on the jobs market and it&#8217;s a welcome sign for Wall Street"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-2160823372-e1720633813513.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday reinforced a message that the Fed is paying growing attention to a slowing job market and not only to taming inflation, a shift that signals it\u2019s likely to begin cutting interest rates soon.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re not just an inflation-targeting central bank,\u201d Powell told the House Financial Services Committee on the second of two days of semi-annual testimony to Congress. \u201cWe also have an employment mandate.\u201d Powell made his remarks days after <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/07\/06\/recession-indicator-economic-outlook-sahm-rule-unemployment-rate-june-jobs-report\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/07\/06\/recession-indicator-economic-outlook-sahm-rule-unemployment-rate-june-jobs-report\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">the unemployment rate hit 4.1%<\/a>, the highest level in over three years and an indication the U.S. could be on the brink of a recession. <\/p>\n<p>On Tuesday, when <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-powell-economy-inflation-rates-election-eae1b879546ff4845489575b88c278f5\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-powell-economy-inflation-rates-election-eae1b879546ff4845489575b88c278f5\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">Powell addressed the Senate Banking Committee<\/a>, he suggested that the Fed had made \u201cconsiderable progress\u201d toward its goal of defeating the <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/inflation-prices-rates-economy-federal-reserve-biden-8e1d14563d83f55e1773bcddd622bb2b\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/inflation-prices-rates-economy-federal-reserve-biden-8e1d14563d83f55e1773bcddd622bb2b\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">worst inflation spike<\/a> in four decades and noted that cutting rates \u201ctoo late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Congress has given the Fed a dual mandate: To keep prices stable and to promote maximum employment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor a long time,\u201d Powell said Wednesday, \u201cwe\u2019ve had to focus on the inflation mandate.\u201d As the economy roared out of the pandemic recession, inflation hit a four-decade high in mid-2022. The Fed responded by raising its benchmark rate 11 times in 2022 and 2023. <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/12\/inflation-report-cpi-unequivocally-good-federal-reserve-interest-rate-cuts-soon\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/12\/inflation-report-cpi-unequivocally-good-federal-reserve-interest-rate-cuts-soon\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Inflation has since plummeted<\/a> from its 9.1% peak to 3.3%. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Still adding jobs\u2014at a slower pace<\/h2>\n<p>The U.S. economy and job market have continued to grow, defying widespread predictions that much higher borrowing costs resulting from the Fed\u2019s rate hikes would cause a recession. Still, growth has weakened this year. From April through June, U.S. employers added <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/jobs-hiring-unemployment-economy-inflation-federal-reserve-c99bb206d61a2fb2e96156460849d006\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/jobs-hiring-unemployment-economy-inflation-federal-reserve-c99bb206d61a2fb2e96156460849d006\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">an average 177,000 jobs a month<\/a>, the lowest three-month hiring pace since January 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Powell told the House panel on Wednesday that to avoid damaging the economy, the Fed likely wouldn\u2019t wait until inflation reached its 2% target before it would start cutting rates.<\/p>\n<p>Markets cheered the Fed\u2019s more dovish turn, with the S&amp;P 500 up 0.7% as of 1:30 p.m. Eastern Time, and on track to set its 37th all-time high this year. The <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/dow\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/dow\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Dow<\/a> Jones Industrial Average was up about or 0.5%, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nasdaq\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nasdaq\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Nasdaq<\/a> composite was adding 0.9% to its own record.<\/p>\n<p>Most economists have said they expect the Fed\u2019s first rate cut to occur in September. Powell this week has declined to say when he envisions the first cut.<\/p>\n<p>Under questioning from several Republican lawmakers, Powell said the Fed and other financial regulators will overhaul a 2023 proposal, known as the \u201cBasel III endgame,\u2019\u2019 that would raise the amount of capital that banks are required to hold against potential losses.<\/p>\n<p>Large banks have aggressively fought against the stricter requirements, which emerged in the aftermath of the 2007-2008 financial crisis. They have warned that the tighter rules would force them to cut lending to consumers and businesses, potentially imperiling the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Powell said the three main U.S. bank regulators \u2014 the Fed, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency \u2014 were near agreement on a new version that would be subject to public comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\">Subscribe to the CEO Daily newsletter to get global CEO perspectives on the biggest stories in business. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Sign up for free<\/a>.<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/07\/10\/jerome-powell-testimony-job-market-unemployment-wall-street\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday reinforced a message that the Fed is paying growing attention to a slowing job market and not<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":241805,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/241804"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=241804"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/241804\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/241805"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=241804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=241804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=241804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}