{"id":238964,"date":"2024-07-02T18:00:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-02T18:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/02\/mt-bank-stock-outlook-morgan-stanley-names-mtb-its-top-midcap-bank-pick\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:15:39","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:15:39","slug":"mt-bank-stock-outlook-morgan-stanley-names-mtb-its-top-midcap-bank-pick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/02\/mt-bank-stock-outlook-morgan-stanley-names-mtb-its-top-midcap-bank-pick\/","title":{"rendered":"M&#038;T Bank stock outlook: Morgan Stanley names MTB it&#8217;s top midcap bank pick"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1927671020.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<div data-cy=\"article-content\">\n<p>Most of the largest banks in America took a hit last week when they performed <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/27\/goldman-sachs-was-the-worst-hit-in-the-feds-latest-stress-test-of-big-banks-bank-of-america-still-lists-it-as-a-buy\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/27\/goldman-sachs-was-the-worst-hit-in-the-feds-latest-stress-test-of-big-banks-bank-of-america-still-lists-it-as-a-buy\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">worse<\/a> than last year on the Federal Reserve\u2019s stress test to see how they\u2019d react to a financial crisis. One winner was Buffalo, New York-based M&amp;T Bank (MTB), which wasn\u2019t just the highest scoring regional bank to be tested but was today moved to the top position on Morgan Stanley\u2019s midcap banks earnings preview.<\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>With a market cap of $26 billion, M&amp;T is currently trading at $150.08, an increase of 0.17% today, and 7.95% so far this year. In the report, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/morgan-stanley\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/morgan-stanley\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Morgan Stanley<\/a> equity analyst Manan Gosalia attributes the decision to move M&amp;T to the bank\u2019s top slot to a successful stress test, improving credit, and stable deposit costs supporting an increase in net interest margins.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMTB trades in line with peers,\u201d writes Gosalia. \u201cBut deserves to trade at a premium given better underwriting quality versus peers, tailwinds in a higher for longer rate environment, and higher excess capital.\u201d Overall, the midcap banks Morgan Stanley covers\u2014defined as banks between $2 billion and $10 billion\u2014underperformed last quarter\u2019s, down 6%. Midcap banks are still cheap though, according to the report, trading at a discount of 5x on their price\/earning ratio relative to historical levels.<\/p>\n<p>Every year the Federal Reserve tests globally important banks to see how they\u2019d perform in a variety of crises. This year, the central bank tested 31 large banks, in large part to see if they had enough assets in reserve to absorbe $685 billion in losses, among other struggles. Citibank was the best performing bank, with an estimated 30 basis point reduction in its stress capital buffer, with M&amp;T coming in a close second with a 10 basis points reduction, according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/wells-fargo\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/wells-fargo\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Wells Fargo<\/a> report last week.<\/p>\n<p>Today, Morgan Stanley refined those estimates, predicting that M&amp;T will have almost 300bps of excess capital as a result of the reduced capital requirements and is expected to grow by 25bps more each quarter. A conservative approach to defining risky assets has also led the bank to a higher quality portfolio, according to Gosalia, and the excess liquidity resulting from an expected increase in net asset margin is expected to be deployed into longer dated securities.<\/p>\n<p>M&amp;T Bank\u2019s stock is among four midcap banks listed as overweight in the Morgan Stanley report, meaning the researchers expect it will perform better over the next year. Other banks are <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/huntington-bancshares\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/huntington-bancshares\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Huntington Bancshares<\/a> Incorporated (HBAC), which M&amp;T replaced for the top spot, East West <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/bancorp\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/bancorp\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Bancorp<\/a> (EWBC), and <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/webster-financial\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/webster-financial\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Webster Financial<\/a> Corporation (WBS).<\/p>\n<p>M&amp;T\u2019s second quarter earnings call is scheduled for July 18.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sc-83cd12c6-0 dTdzGq article\" data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\">Subscribe to the CEO Daily newsletter to get global CEO perspectives on the biggest stories in business. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.fortune.com\/newsletters\/ceo-daily?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=finance\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Sign up for free<\/a>.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/07\/02\/mtb-banking-stocks-midcap-picks-morgan-stanley-outlook\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Most of the largest banks in America took a hit last week when they performed worse than last year on the Federal Reserve\u2019s stress<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":238965,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238964"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=238964"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/238964\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/238965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=238964"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=238964"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=238964"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}