{"id":235030,"date":"2024-06-21T15:31:32","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T15:31:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/21\/nvidia-is-carrying-the-sp-500-like-no-company-since-possibly-ibm-4-decades-ago\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:16:30","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:16:30","slug":"nvidia-is-carrying-the-sp-500-like-no-company-since-possibly-ibm-4-decades-ago","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/06\/21\/nvidia-is-carrying-the-sp-500-like-no-company-since-possibly-ibm-4-decades-ago\/","title":{"rendered":"Nvidia is carrying the S&#038;P 500 like no company since possibly IBM 4 decades ago"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<br \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/GettyImages-542420512-e1718977666640.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The astounding performance of a few tech companies is masking an otherwise mediocre stock market. <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/15\/nvidia-stock-valuation-nvda-sp500-returns-market-capitalization-risk-investors\/?utm_source=search&amp;utm_medium=suggested_search&amp;utm_campaign=search_link_clicks\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/15\/nvidia-stock-valuation-nvda-sp500-returns-market-capitalization-risk-investors\/?utm_source=search&amp;utm_medium=suggested_search&amp;utm_campaign=search_link_clicks\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">The S&amp;P 500 Index<\/a> broke its 31st record of the year on Tuesday, closing at 5,487.03, according to Bloomberg <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/SPX:IND?sref=2jPYL79S\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/quote\/SPX:IND?sref=2jPYL79S\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">data<\/a>. While the index is up over 15% this year, that growth is by no means evenly shared.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Looking at year-to-date data through June 18, shares of <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/21\/nvidia-share-price-dotcom-bubble-ai\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/21\/nvidia-share-price-dotcom-bubble-ai\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Nvidia<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/microsoft\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/microsoft\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Microsoft<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/apple\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/apple\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Apple<\/a>, Meta, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/alphabet\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/alphabet\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Google<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/amazon-com\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/amazon-com\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Amazon<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/14\/bank-of-america-broadcom-nvidia-chips-chipmakers-artificial-intelligence\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/14\/bank-of-america-broadcom-nvidia-chips-chipmakers-artificial-intelligence\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Broadcom<\/a> have on average soared by 25.3%, while the remaining 493 companies have grown by just 2.7%. In June alone, the \u201cMagnificent Seven\u201d (the previously cited list, swapping in <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/broadcom\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/broadcom\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Broadcom<\/a> for Tesla) are on average up 7.5%, but the rest of the index is down -0.5%, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&amp;P. On Tuesday, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nvidia\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/nvidia\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Nvidia<\/a>, Microsoft, and Apple stock equated to half of the index\u2019s total returns, he adds.<\/p>\n<p>This unprecedented level of concentration is leaving some portfolio managers nervous. \u201cThey\u2019re biting their nails. Because the bottom line is, if you are not in this, you\u2019re not getting your return,\u201d Silverblatt told <em>Fortune<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><iframe class=\"\" aria-label=\"Column Chart\" id=\"datawrapper-chart-B7gnW\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"464\" loading=\"lazy\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/B7gnW\/4\/\" style=\"border:none\" title=\"S&amp;P 500 performance year-to-date through June 18, 2024\" width=\"100%\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s because <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/spdji\/en\/indices\/equity\/sp-500-equal-weight-index\/#overview\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.spglobal.com\/spdji\/en\/indices\/equity\/sp-500-equal-weight-index\/#overview\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">the version of the index that makes no distinction between the market cap of the companies<\/a> has grown just 4% this year. Moreover, the share of the S&amp;P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages is declining, down to 47% on Monday from 92% in January, according to <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-06-20\/-sellers-are-entering-the-market-with-s-p-faltering-beyond-tech?sref=2jPYL79S\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2024-06-20\/-sellers-are-entering-the-market-with-s-p-faltering-beyond-tech?sref=2jPYL79S\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">Bloomberg<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The darling of tech darlings remains Nvidia, which briefly became <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/20\/nvidia-most-valuable-company-in-the-world\/\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/20\/nvidia-most-valuable-company-in-the-world\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">the world\u2019s most valuable company<\/a> this week. With a market capitalization of about $3.1 trillion as of Friday morning, its stock is up over 170% year to date. At the peak of its frenzy on Tuesday, it was more valuable than the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Schuldensuehner\/status\/1803392136093544663\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/x.com\/Schuldensuehner\/status\/1803392136093544663\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">entire stock market of France or that of the U.K.<\/a>, or the <a href=\"https:\/\/nymag.com\/intelligencer\/article\/nvidia-is-bigger-than-all-real-estate-in-nyc-and-far-more.html#\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/nymag.com\/intelligencer\/article\/nvidia-is-bigger-than-all-real-estate-in-nyc-and-far-more.html#\/\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">whole oil and gas industry<\/a>. That same day, one-third of the index\u2019s returns were from the company alone. \u201cIt\u2019s unheard of,\u201d says Silverblatt. \u201cThe closest we can get to that level of impact [on the index] from one company is <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/ibm\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/company\/ibm\/\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">IBM<\/a> in the 1980s, when that new product, PCs, were coming out.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So, how long can this growth last? Silverblatt says he wouldn\u2019t bet his money on Nvidia generating these types of returns every year. For him, it\u2019s not a question of if it loses its chip monopoly, it&#8217;s a matter of when. But, ultimately, whoever eventually usurps Nvidia is likely to be another tech company that needs chips: \u201cIt&#8217;s going to stay in the family, shall we say.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Looking more closely at IBM, in the early 1980s, it was topping the index and towering over competitors at a two-to-one ratio, according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/04\/26\/your-money\/now-its-apples-world-once-it-was-ibms.html\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/04\/26\/your-money\/now-its-apples-world-once-it-was-ibms.html\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\"><em>New York Times<\/em>.<\/a> By 1985, its portion of the index was 6.4%\u2014about equal to Apple\u2019s today. The company began to lose its monopoly over personal computers once Apple announced the Macintosh in 1984. Today, IBM ranks about 51st on the index, and represents just 0.35% of the weight. Its market cap is 5% that of Apple\u2019s.<\/p>\n<p>Adam Kobeissi, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/video\/6345003569112\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/video\/6345003569112\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">editor-in-chief<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/video\/6345003569112\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.foxbusiness.com\/video\/6345003569112\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\">The Kobeissi Letter<\/a>, told <em>Fortune<\/em> all waves of internet innovation \u201ctypically come with a bubble,\u201d and he anticipates there will be a pullback period in which weaker players are \u201cweeded out.\u201d Nonetheless, he predicts that the large-scale tech stocks are to remain the leaders of the market, and doesn&#8217;t envision anyone dethroning Nvidia in the near term.<\/p>\n<p>So, in the near term, is this level of disproportionality concerning?<\/p>\n<p>Well, the top three stocks alone can move the market significantly. &#8220;Concentration is a risky situation\u201d and that makes \u201ceverybody nervous,\u201d adds Silverblatt. If, for example, Nvidia were to lose the gains it has made this year overnight, the S&amp;P 500 would have to come down approximately 4.5%, according to his calculations. \u201cThe market&#8217;s going to have to absorb that.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-cy=\"subscriptionPlea\">Subscribe to the Fortune Next to Lead newsletter to get weekly strategies on how to make it to the corner office. <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/newsletters\/next-to-lead?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=next_to_lead\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/fortune.com\/newsletters\/next-to-lead?&amp;itm_source=fortune&amp;itm_medium=article_tout&amp;itm_campaign=next_to_lead\" class=\"sc-80b85506-0 pUpMT\" rel=\"noopener\">Sign up for free<\/a> before it launches on June 24, 2024.<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/06\/21\/nvidia-microsoft-apple-meta-google-amazon-broadcom-ibm-index-wall-street\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] The astounding performance of a few tech companies is masking an otherwise mediocre stock market. The S&amp;P 500 Index broke its 31st record of<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":235031,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235030"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=235030"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/235030\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/235031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=235030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=235030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=235030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}