{"id":215091,"date":"2024-03-20T01:51:48","date_gmt":"2024-03-20T01:51:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/20\/the-bitcoin-halving-will-change-crypto-again-heres-everything-you-need-to-know\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:20:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:20:20","slug":"the-bitcoin-halving-will-change-crypto-again-heres-everything-you-need-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/20\/the-bitcoin-halving-will-change-crypto-again-heres-everything-you-need-to-know\/","title":{"rendered":"The Bitcoin \u2018halving\u2019 will change crypto\u2014again. Here\u2019s everything you need to know"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Every four years, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2024\/03\/19\/bitcoin-slumps-62000-gbtc-fed-rate-cut-waiting-game\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">Bitcoin<\/a> undergoes a \u201chalving,\u201d which cuts the daily supply of newly minted coins by 50%\u2014an event that\u2019s historically caused prices to soar. As the next halving rapidly approaches, on or around April 19, investors are waiting to see whether this familiar pattern is repeated.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin has already climbed 60% this year, reaching an all-time high of over $72,000 in March. This has been driven by investors <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2024\/03\/05\/bitcoin-breaks-record-69000-spot-etfs\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">flocking to newly launched ETFs<\/a> that allow them to buy Bitcoin in the form of shares on a stock exchange. But it\u2019s also likely because markets know diminished supply from the halving could rally demand, and if history repeats itself, Bitcoin could outdo its 2021 bull run by a significant margin.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s <em>Fortune\u2019s<\/em> plain English guide to the Bitcoin halving: what it is, why it matters, and how it could affect the price of the original cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is a halving?<\/h2>\n<p>Every time a new block is added to the Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/crash-course\/blockchains\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">blockchain<\/a>, the contributor is given some Bitcoins as a reward. This \u201cblock reward\u201d initially consisted of 50 bitcoins but, due to a feature of Bitcoin\u2019s code, that amount is cut in half every four years.<\/p>\n<p>Previous halvings saw the block reward cut to 25 Bitcoins, then to 12.5, then to the current allotment of 6.25. The halving set for April will see the reward cut to 3.125.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">#Bitcoin<\/a> Halving is near <\/p>\n<p>32 days more to go\u2026. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/M8HTDu8y5l\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">pic.twitter.com\/M8HTDu8y5l<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Budhil Vyas (@BudhilVyas) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BudhilVyas\/status\/1770014039571374297?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">March 19, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <!-- --><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Who\u2019s adding these blocks to the Bitcoin blockchain in the first place?\u00a0<\/h2>\n<p>Blocks are added by <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2024\/03\/01\/department-energy-survey-bitcoin-miners-legal-backlash\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">miners<\/a>, which typically fall into three categories: retail (individuals with computers), industrial (often publicly traded, operating data farms), and mining pools (groups of miners who combine efforts over a network).<\/p>\n<p>Anyone can be a miner and eligible for rewards\u2014which are issued every 10 minutes or so\u2014if they download the Bitcoin program and run it on their computers.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Rewards go to whomever is first to solve a complex math problem using trial-and-error calculations on a specialized computer. The mining is an integral part of updating transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain and keeping the network secure.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">When are halvings?<\/h2>\n<p>Halvings occur after 210,000 blocks are created\u2014roughly every four years.\u00a0It\u2019s not possible to predict the exact time because, due the nature of the race to solve the math problems, the new blocks don\u2019t arrive at fixed intervals. But it\u2019s possible to make a good guess, and the current estimate is April 19.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Have they happened before?<\/h2>\n<p>Yes, there have been three: Nov. 28, 2012, July 9, 2016, and May 11, 2020.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will halvings go on forever?<\/h2>\n<p>No. The reward will continue to diminish until it reaches one satoshi, equivalent to 0.00000001 Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s source code will only ever produce 21 million coins. The majority\u2014about 19 million\u2014have already been mined. The process is expected to continue until the year 2140.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">2140 and we\u2019re still at it, the final halving\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">#bitcoin<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/l21dG1tADm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">pic.twitter.com\/l21dG1tADm<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 lanefrog.eth (@lanefrog) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lanefrog\/status\/1769871014698369433?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">March 18, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <!-- --><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why does it occur?<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s pseudonymous founder, Satoshi Nakamoto, set out the halving mechanism in the currency\u2019s 2008 white paper. Halvings are intended to keep Bitcoin inflation-resistant by slowing the rate at which new coins are created. For instance, currently, 328,500 Bitcoins are created each year, which will soon drop to 164,250.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin, celebrates its 11th halving anniversary today. Back in the day, a decade ago, it traded at a mere $12. Today, it\u2019s worth a staggering $37,000.<\/p>\n<p>This milestone prompts reflection on Bitcoin\u2019s journey since Satoshi Nakamoto\u2019s white paper and its inaugural transaction in\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/A15WVuzImT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">pic.twitter.com\/A15WVuzImT<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Guerrier Dexter (@DexterGuer43523) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DexterGuer43523\/status\/1729903461297274943?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">November 29, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <!-- --><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe current wage inflation rate of Bitcoin is more or less equivalent to that of gold, at 1.8%. But after the halving, it will decline to 0.85% per year, which will act as a timely reminder of Bitcoin\u2019s scarcity,\u201d Vetle Lunde, a senior analyst at K33, told <em>Fortune<\/em>. Because Bitcoin continually becomes scarcer, it\u2019s a deflationary asset, which is attractive to many investors.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What does this mean for Bitcoin\u2019s price?<\/h2>\n<p>So far, every halving has coincided with a bull run, Laurence Smith, a senior market strategist at <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2023\/06\/30\/ethereum-founder-says-crypto-is-on-the-cusp-of-a-broadband-moment\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">Consensys<\/a>, told <em>Fortune<\/em>.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\" style=\"margin:auto;max-width:650px\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;display:block;overflow:hidden;width:initial;height:initial;background:none;opacity:1;border:0;margin:0;padding:0;position:relative\"><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:initial;height:initial;background:none;opacity:1;border:0;margin:0;padding:0;padding-top:91.84615384615384%\"\/><img alt=\"Chart shows Bitcoin price and halvings since 2011\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"responsive\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0;border:none;margin:auto;display:block;width:0;height:0;min-width:100%;max-width:100%;min-height:100%;max-height:100%;object-fit:cover;background-size:cover;background-position:0% 0%;filter:blur(20px);background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAADUlEQVR42mO8fv1mPQAIHAMIsIR6agAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==&quot;)\"\/><noscript><img alt=\"Chart shows Bitcoin price and halvings since 2011\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"responsive\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0;border:none;margin:auto;display:block;width:0;height:0;min-width:100%;max-width:100%;min-height:100%;max-height:100%;object-fit:cover\" sizes=\"100vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=320&amp;q=75 320w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=480&amp;q=75 480w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=576&amp;q=75 576w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=768&amp;q=75 768w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=1024&amp;q=75 1024w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=1280&amp;q=75 1280w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=1440&amp;q=75 1440w\" src=\"https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/BTC_0319242.png?w=1440&amp;q=75\"\/><\/noscript><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Nick Rapp\u2014Fortune<\/p>\n<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Following the previous halvings, the price climbed 8,760% to $1,152, then 2,570% to $17,760, and finally 594% to $67,549 by the following year.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why?<\/h2>\n<p>Supply goes down, demand goes up. But prices usually start trending upward before the event itself.<\/p>\n<p>During the previous three halvings, Bitcoin saw an average increase of 14% in the two months before the event, adds Lunde. There are two main reasons.<\/p>\n<p>Firstly, miners are selling less Bitcoin in the run-up. From January to November of last year, miners held onto 2.5%, but since December that figure\u2019s grown to approximately 30%. Miners are building a \u201cwar chest\u201d to can cash in at the right time, once production costs go up, Lunde says.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead of the halving, \u201cwe\u2019re certainly HODL-ing the vast majority of our Bitcoin,\u201d Fred Thiel, CEO of the publicly traded mine Marathon Digital Holdings, told <em>Fortune<\/em>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, there\u2019s the \u201cbuy the rumor, sell the news\u201d investors who will help push prices upward until mid-April, says Cory Klippsten, CEO of Swan Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What about long-term price changes?<\/h2>\n<p>Historically, the best day to sell Bitcoin is 500 days after the halving, Markus Thielen, founder and head of 10x Research, told <em>Fortune<\/em>. Additionally, Robert Le, a crypto analyst at PitchBook, notes how there\u2019s been a full bear-to-bull cycle every four years, with the lowest end always increasing. \u201cThe bottom of the bear market is always the previous market\u2019s high,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">So\u2026will April be bullish?<\/h2>\n<p>Not exactly.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Firstly, it\u2019s worth remembering that each successive halving has a diminishing impact on the new supply of Bitcoin. \u201cMarket demand\u2014or the absence of it\u2014now plays a more pivotal role in driving Bitcoin\u2019s price than the reduction in the rate of new Bitcoins created,\u201d says Klippsten.<\/p>\n<p>Secondly, there\u2019s the impact of rising production costs. In the past, the cost has acted as a lower bound for Bitcoin prices, and <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2024\/02\/29\/bitcoin-correction-jp-morgan-april-halving\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">JPMorgan analysts predicted<\/a> it will rise\u2014on average\u2014to $42,000 after the halving. \u201cThis estimate is also the level we envisage Bitcoin prices drifting towards once Bitcoin-halving-induced euphoria subsides after April,\u201d the analysts wrote in a recent report. Klippsten also expects to see this April price drop but is optimistic it will be fleeting.<\/p>\n<p>Lastly, things are simply unfolding in a new way this time round, thanks to the new ETFs. The cycle is already performing \u201creally different\u201d to the previous three halvings, with the all-time high happening nearing two months before the event, Matteo Greco, an analyst at Fineqia International, told <em>Fortune<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not something that historically has happened before,\u201d he said, adding that Bitcoin typically peaks six to 12 months after a halving. It\u2019s unclear how the ETF inflows coinciding with a drop in hashrate could pan out.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What\u2019s hashrate?<\/h2>\n<p>Hashrate is the total computational power being used to mine Bitcoin, measured in EH\/s\u2014exhash per second, which refers to the speed computers are guessing a number. Put simply, it\u2019s the number of guesses per second by all computers on the network. The more powerful a computer, the greater portion of the network\u2019s hashrate it occupies.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">#Bitcoin<\/a> Hashrate reached a new ALL TIME HIGH of 636,000,000,000,000,000,000 hashes\/s this week<\/p>\n<p>Miners won&#8217;t and can&#8217;t stop bringing hash online ahead of the halving! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/QhaNITNapY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">pic.twitter.com\/QhaNITNapY<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Hashrate Index \ud83d\udfe7\u26cf\ufe0f (@hashrateindex) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashrateindex\/status\/1768950161105932797?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">March 16, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <!-- --><\/p>\n<p>With each halving, the hashrate has increased because more powerful computers have been required to correctly solve the math problems. For example, the hashrate has risen from 2 EH\/s the week before the 2016 halving to around 600.92 EH\/s today.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What\u2019s next for miners?<\/h2>\n<p>Miners seeking to continue operations will have to keep investing in more powerful computers\u2014and, wherever possible, lower their electricity costs. But the reality, experts told <em>Fortune<\/em>, is that for many miners, their days are numbered.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">#Bitcoin<\/a> market is fueled by spot ETFs, not by the halving event.<\/p>\n<p>After the halving, mining expenses will double, pushing miners to keep certain prices for mining profitability.<\/p>\n<p>Direct cost per coin will rise to approx $37K, but at $63K, it&#8217;s no longer a problem for them.<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/1770074028134580527?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">March 19, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p> <!-- --><\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect consolidation,\u201d Fred Thiel, CEO of the world\u2019s largest mine, Marathon Digital Holdings, told <em>Fortune<\/em>. About 10% to 25% of miners\u2014likely smaller players\u2014will come offline at some point, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s a very, very difficult time for the pools,\u201d Kristian Csepcsar, chief marketing officer at mining pool Braiins, told <em>Fortune<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Adam Ortfolf, a retail miner from Colorado who operates computers from his garage, told <em>Fortune<\/em> that during the 2022 downturn, he simply turned his machines off and placed them on a shelf.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf it gets to where it\u2019s not profitable,\u201d he added, \u201cunlike the really big miners, I can just turn them off.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script async src=\"\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<br \/>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/crypto\/2024\/03\/19\/bitcoin-halving-crypto-price-change-explainer\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Every four years, Bitcoin undergoes a \u201chalving,\u201d which cuts the daily supply of newly minted coins by 50%\u2014an event that\u2019s historically caused prices to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":215092,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215091"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=215091"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215091\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":335941,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215091\/revisions\/335941"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/215092"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=215091"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=215091"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=215091"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}