{"id":212704,"date":"2024-03-12T22:23:38","date_gmt":"2024-03-12T22:23:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/12\/east-asias-baby-bonuses-arent-solving-falling-birth-rates\/"},"modified":"2025-06-25T17:20:45","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T17:20:45","slug":"east-asias-baby-bonuses-arent-solving-falling-birth-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/2024\/03\/12\/east-asias-baby-bonuses-arent-solving-falling-birth-rates\/","title":{"rendered":"East Asia&#8217;s baby bonuses aren&#8217;t solving falling birth rates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> [ad_1]<br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Governments across Asia\u2014in Singapore and Beijing, Tokyo and Seoul\u2014are facing a <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/asia\/2024\/02\/28\/south-korea-world-lowest-fertility-rate-population-fall-decline\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">crisis<\/a>: <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Spotlight\/Society\/Singapore-and-South-Korea-fertility-rates-fall-to-record-lows\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">plummeting<\/a> birth rates.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>For several decades now, people in East Asian economies have <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2022\/12\/02\/japan-new-births-record-low-demographics-east-asia-fertility\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">had fewer<\/a> and fewer children. Last year, South Korea <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/asia\/2024\/02\/16\/south-korea-worlds-lowest-fertility-rate-seoul-mayor-city-sponsored-dating-event\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">beat<\/a> its own record for having the world\u2019s lowest birth rate, reporting 0.72 births per woman for 2023, down from 0.78 in 2022. Singapore reported 0.97 births per woman, the first time the rate has fallen below one. Japan has one of the world\u2019s oldest populations, with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cia.gov\/the-world-factbook\/field\/median-age\/country-comparison\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">median<\/a> age of 49.5. Hong Kong, Taiwan, and mainland China are all reporting falling birth rates as well.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>All of these economies have fertility rates far below 2.1, the \u201creplacement rate\u201d which allows for a stable population. They haven\u2019t reported a rate above 2.1 for years, if not decades.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A low birth rate leads to a shrinking population, and a smaller workforce to produce the goods and services that lead to economic growth. Slower economic activity results in drops in fiscal revenue, giving fewer resources to a government that now needs to provide welfare for a growing elderly population.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Academics often point to the cost of childcare, poor work-life balance, a lack of support for new parents (particularly mothers), and the stresses of modern society as reasons for falling birth rates. \u201cIn all the cosmopolitan cities, the fertility rate tends to be much lower because [people have] a lot of choices. The higher the development, [the] more urbanized, the more education that women get, the smaller the family size,\u201d Paul Cheung, director of the Asia Competitiveness Institute at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, says.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\" style=\"margin:auto;max-width:1024px\"><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;display:block;overflow:hidden;width:initial;height:initial;background:none;opacity:1;border:0;margin:0;padding:0;position:relative\"><span style=\"box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:initial;height:initial;background:none;opacity:1;border:0;margin:0;padding:0;padding-top:79.00390625%\"\/><img alt=\"\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"responsive\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0;border:none;margin:auto;display:block;width:0;height:0;min-width:100%;max-width:100%;min-height:100%;max-height:100%;object-fit:cover;background-size:cover;background-position:0% 0%;filter:blur(20px);background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAADUlEQVR42mO8fv1mPQAIHAMIsIR6agAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==&quot;)\"\/><noscript><img alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"responsive\" style=\"position:absolute;top:0;left:0;bottom:0;right:0;box-sizing:border-box;padding:0;border:none;margin:auto;display:block;width:0;height:0;min-width:100%;max-width:100%;min-height:100%;max-height:100%;object-fit:cover\" sizes=\"100vw\" srcset=\"https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=320&amp;q=75 320w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=480&amp;q=75 480w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=576&amp;q=75 576w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=768&amp;q=75 768w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=1024&amp;q=75 1024w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=1280&amp;q=75 1280w, https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=1440&amp;q=75 1440w\" src=\"https:\/\/content.fortune.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/K0YpP-east-asian-birth-rates-have-been-declining-for-decades_69cabf.png?w=1440&amp;q=75\"\/><\/noscript><\/span><\/div>\n<p>Faced with this looming crisis, Asian governments have turned to a straightforward solution: Give prospective parents <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/asia\/2023\/10\/26\/hong-kong-baby-bonus-low-birth-rate-population-fertility-chief-executive-john-lee\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">money<\/a> if they have kids. The connection is simple to understand. If a major barrier to having children is the cost of childcare, then alleviating that cost with extra cash should change someone\u2019s economic calculus.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Except it hasn\u2019t worked. Even Singapore, which Cheung suggests had a \u201cway more generous [policy] than all the Asian countries,\u201d has not succeeded in arresting the decline in fertility.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLow birth rates are a reflection of big institutional, cultural, structural problems,\u201d\u00a0said Stuart Gietel-Basten, a professor of social science and public policy at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. \u201cThrowing a bit of money at it is not going to fix it.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What are governments currently doing to stop falling birth rates?<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Cheung, before his stint as an academic, was the director of Singapore\u2019s population planning unit between 1987 and 1994. He helped to start Singapore\u2019s pronatalist policy, offering a relatively more generous set of incentives to encourage more births. The government even organized events to help single Singaporeans to meet.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Singapore\u2019s government officially inaugurated its baby bonus scheme in 2001. The most <a href=\"https:\/\/www.channelnewsasia.com\/singapore\/baby-bonus-enhanced-benefits-cash-gift-cda-aug-1-instead-early-2024-3660736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">current<\/a> payout is 11,000 Singapore dollars ($8,263) for each first and second child and 13,000 Singapore dollars ($9,766) each for the third and subsequent child.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Other governments are also trying to dole out incentives. Japan increased its lump-sum childbirth benefit to 500,000 yen ($3,400) in April last year. Starting this October, the government will also <a href=\"https:\/\/japannews.yomiuri.co.jp\/politics\/politics-government\/20230615-116165\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">offer<\/a> 15,000 yen ($102) a month to households after the birth of a first and second child until the age of 2, and then continue providing 10,000 yen ($68) till high school. The government will offer more money to families with more than two children.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>South Korea has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.koreaherald.com\/view.php?ud=20240122000698\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">increased<\/a> its incentives, too. The government gives 2 million Korean won ($1,519) to parents when a baby is born, which increases to 3 million won ($2,279) for the second child. Parents will also get an allowance of up to 18 million won ($13,674) in total for the first two years of the child\u2019s life.<\/p>\n<p>Hong Kong, on the other hand, is <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/asia\/2023\/10\/26\/hong-kong-baby-bonus-low-birth-rate-population-fertility-chief-executive-john-lee\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">offering<\/a> a one-off cash allowance of HKD 20,000 ($2,557).\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Singapore\u2019s birth rate is declining at a slower rate than other Asian economies, only falling below 1.0 last year. (By comparison, Hong Kong\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2022\/10\/07\/hong-kong-population-demographic-crisis-shrinking-covid-quarantine\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">fertility<\/a> rate first fell below 1.0 in 2001, and hovered around that level before falling back below 1.0 again in 2020). Singapore\u2019s population is still stable, but that may be due to the country\u2019s more liberal immigration policies, compared with Japan and South Korea.<\/p>\n<p>All these measures seem to do is \u201cdelay the population decline a little into the future,\u201d Cheung says.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u2018I feel sorry for the government\u2019<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The scary thought for demographers may now be that there\u2019s no easy fix for falling fertility. Even the Nordic countries, whose more generous pro-child policies were credited with keeping birth rates relatively high, have now seen fertility collapse after the COVID pandemic.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe strange thing with fertility is nobody really knows what\u2019s going on,\u201d Anna Rotkirch, a research director at Family Federation of Finland\u2019s Population Research Institute, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/500c0fb7-a04a-4f87-9b93-bf65045b9401\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">told<\/a> the Financial Times earlier this year. The demographer, who advised former prime minister Sanna Marin on population policy, now thinks fertility decline is \u201cnot primarily driven by economics or family policies. It\u2019s something cultural, psychological, biological, cognitive.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Research from Singapore implies that drop in fertility could be due to something more fundamental in how people live in modern society. Tan Poh Lin, a research fellow at the National University of Singapore, <a href=\"https:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s10508-020-01848-y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">found<\/a> rates of sexual intercourse among married heterosexual couples in Singapore\u2014a \u201chigh-stress\u201d society\u2014was lower than the ideal frequency to conceive, generally considered to be five or six times every 30 days. There was \u201cstrong negative effects of both stress and fatigue, especially during weekdays,\u201d she writes. Other surveys in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/week-asia\/people\/article\/3250558\/japan-study-reveals-2-3-married-couples-nearly-sexless-or-no-longer-have-sex-amid-falling-birth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">Japan<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.koreatimes.co.kr\/www2\/common\/viewpage.asp?newsIdx=208443&amp;categoryCode=113\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">South Korea<\/a> report similar findings.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But if monetary incentives or better social welfare and work-life balance, like in northern European countries are not getting birth rates to what it should be, then what can Asian economies do to raise birth rates?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI feel sorry for the government because it\u2019s the only organization or institution doing anything,\u201d Gietel-Basten said. \u201cIn reality, everyone has to take responsibility for this. Companies have to change their attitude and recognize children are a social good, and that parents should be supported and not penalized,\u201d he says. \u201cBut that costs money.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some companies in Asia have made high-profile offers to support employees having children. In February, a South Korean construction firm, the Booyoung Group, <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2024\/02\/26\/billionaire-boss-south-korean-construction-giant-booyoung-group-encouraging-workers-children-75000-bonus\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">offered<\/a> a bonus worth 100 million won ($76,000) to encourage female employees to have children. China\u2019s Trip.com Group also <a href=\"https:\/\/investors.trip.com\/news-releases\/news-release-details\/tripcom-group-announces-rmb-1-billion-childcare-subsidy-global#:~:text=Employees%20who%20have%20been%20with,reaches%20the%20age%20of%20five.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"sc-47dba8f0-0 iRbseu styledLinkColor \">offered<\/a> some employees a 10,000 yuan ($1,391) annual bonus for households for every child under the age of five.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s no quick solution, says Gietel-Basten. Instead, he suggests that governments focus on other economic wellbeing issues\u2014like youth unemployment, job security, and a sense that work is being valued\u2014and hope that indirectly improves fertility rates.<\/p>\n<p>In mainland China, \u201cthere\u2019s not even jobs for the young people who are alive now,\u201d he says. \u201cWhy do you want to have more children?\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>[ad_2]<br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/asia\/2024\/03\/12\/asia-worlds-lowest-birth-rates-baby-bonus-not-working-singapore-south-korea-hong-kong-japan\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[ad_1] Governments across Asia\u2014in Singapore and Beijing, Tokyo and Seoul\u2014are facing a crisis: plummeting birth rates.\u00a0 For several decades now, people in East Asian economies<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":212705,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212704"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=212704"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212704\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":338311,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/212704\/revisions\/338311"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/212705"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=212704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=212704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/michigandigitalnews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=212704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}